Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.447530 0.517857 0.594822 0.685194 0.788293 0.902132 1.037244
2025-07-06 0.320527 0.413500 0.525748 0.670737 0.852508 1.072264 1.357453
2025-07-13 0.261394 0.365069 0.499471 0.685363 0.934537 1.255553 1.698809
2025-07-20 0.228914 0.341107 0.495204 0.720408 1.038837 1.470262 2.095746
2025-07-27 0.201189 0.317376 0.485242 0.742606 1.123687 1.662778 2.477551
2025-08-03 0.175758 0.292091 0.468090 0.749881 1.184801 1.824274 2.827186
2025-08-10 0.153031 0.266990 0.446933 0.746818 1.227642 1.959994 3.147883
2025-08-17 0.133098 0.243145 0.424065 0.737127 1.257248 2.075831 3.445549
2025-08-24 0.116833 0.222943 0.404160 0.729007 1.286951 2.192235 3.751357
2025-08-31 0.100579 0.200313 0.377102 0.705090 1.286862 2.258961 3.980200
2025-09-07 0.095918 0.198198 0.385388 0.743028 1.395023 2.511948 4.536482
2025-09-14 0.083819 0.180180 0.362669 0.722411 1.397582 2.585075 4.791282
2025-09-21 0.073126 0.163661 0.341178 0.702382 1.400462 2.661147 5.061904
2025-09-28 0.064148 0.149395 0.322355 0.685382 1.407336 2.745075 5.354250
2025-10-05 0.059545 0.143749 0.319931 0.700159 1.475877 2.946496 5.876393
2025-10-12 0.057344 0.143070 0.327549 0.735899 1.588517 3.238700 6.589897
2025-10-19 0.054145 0.139641 0.328888 0.758543 1.676602 3.490338 7.244262
2025-10-26 0.050030 0.133447 0.323439 0.765963 1.733739 3.685515 7.802579
2025-11-02 0.045585 0.125777 0.313729 0.762839 1.768003 3.837096 8.284497
2025-11-09 0.041167 0.117510 0.301637 0.752953 1.786525 3.957637 8.711802
2025-11-16 0.037329 0.110158 0.290793 0.744670 1.807546 4.084426 9.160421
2025-11-23 0.032993 0.100798 0.273930 0.720272 1.789834 4.127737 9.436620
2025-11-30 0.032422 0.101758 0.282826 0.758973 1.920342 4.498540 10.436221